The grammatical structure of this unit is predicative clause. Like object clause and subject clause, predicative clause is one of Nominal Clauses. The leading words of predicative clauses are that, what, how, what, where, as if, because, etc.The design of teaching activities aims to guide students to perceive the structural features of predicative clauses and think about their ideographic functions. Beyond that, students should be guided to use this grammar in the context apporpriately and flexibly.1. Enable the Ss to master the usage of the predicative clauses in this unit.2. Enable the Ss to use the predicative patterns flexibly.3. Train the Ss to apply some skills by doing the relevant exercises.1.Guide students to perceive the structural features of predicative clauses and think about their ideographic functions.2.Strengthen students' ability of using predicative clauses in context, but also cultivate their ability of text analysis and logical reasoning competence.Step1: Underline all the examples in the reading passage, where noun clauses are used as the predicative. Then state their meaning and functions.1) One theory was that bad air caused the disease.2) Another theory was that cholera was caused by an infection from germs in food or water.3) The truth was that the water from the Broad Street had been infected by waste.Sum up the rules of grammar:1. 以上黑體部分在句中作表語。2. 句1、2、3中的that在從句中不作成分,只起連接作用。 Step2: Review the basic components of predicative clauses1.Definition
Step 5: After learning the text, discuss with your peers about the following questions:1.John Snow believed Idea 2 was right. How did he finally prove it?2. Do you think John Snow would have solved this problem without the map?3. Cholera is a 19th century disease. What disease do you think is similar to cholera today?SARS and Covid-19 because they are both deadly and fatally infectious, have an unknown cause and need serious public health care to solve them urgently.keys:1. John Snow finally proved his idea because he found an outbreak that was clearly related to cholera, collected information and was able to tie cases outside the area to the polluted water.2. No. The map helped John Snow organize his ideas. He was able to identify those households that had had many deaths and check their water-drinking habits. He identified those houses that had had no deaths and surveyed their drinking habits. The evidence clearly pointed to the polluted water being the cause.3. SARS and Covid-19 because they are both deadly and fatally infectious, have an unknown cause and need serious public health care to solve them urgently.Step 6: Consolidate what you have learned by filling in the blanks:John Snow was a well-known _1___ in London in the _2__ century. He wanted to find the _3_____ of cholera in order to help people ___4_____ it. In 1854 when a cholera __5__ London, he began to gather information. He ___6__ on a map ___7___ all the dead people had lived and he found that many people who had ___8____ (drink) the dirty water from the __9____ died. So he decided that the polluted water ___10____ cholera. He suggested that the ___11__ of all water supplies should be _12______ and new methods of dealing with ____13___ water be found. Finally, “King Cholera” was __14_____.Keys: 1. doctor 2. 19th 3.cause 4.infected with 5.hit 6.marked 7.where 8.drunk 9.pump 10.carried 11.source 12.examined 13.polluted 14.defeatedHomework: Retell the text after class and preview its language points
This happens because the dish soap molecules have a strong negative charge, and the milk molecules have a strong positive charge. Like magnets, these molecules are attracted to each other, and so they appear to move around on the plate, taking the food coloring with them, making it look like the colors are quickly moving to escape from the soap.Listening text:? Judy: Oh, I'm so sorry that you were ill and couldn't come with us on our field trip. How are you feeling now? Better?? Bill: Much better, thanks. But how was it?? Judy: Wonderful! I especially liked an area of the museum called Light Games.it was really cool. They had a hall of mirrors where I could see myself reflected thousands of times!? Bill: A hall of mirrors can be a lot of fun. What else did they have?? Judy: Well, they had an experiment where we looked at a blue screen for a while, and then suddenly we could see tiny bright lights moving around on it. You'll never guess what those bright lights were!? Bill: Come on, tell me!? Judy: They were our own blood cells. For some reason, our eyes play tricks on us when we look at a blue screen, and we can see our own blood cells moving around like little lights! But there was another thing I liked better. I stood in front of a white light, and it cast different shadows of me in every color of the rainbow!? Bill: Oh, I wish I had been there. Tell me more!? Judy: Well, they had another area for sound. They had a giant piano keyboard that you could use your feet to play. But then, instead of playing the sounds of a piano, it played the voices of classical singers! Then they had a giant dish, and when you spoke into it, it reflected the sound back and made it louder. You could use it to speak in a whisper to someone 17 meters away.? Bill: It all sounds so cool. I wish I could have gone with you? Judy: I know, but we can go together this weekend. I'd love to go there again!? Bill: That sounds like a great idea!
The newspaper reported more than 100 people had been killed in the thunderstorm.報(bào)紙報(bào)道說有一百多人在暴風(fēng)雨中喪生。(2)before、when、by the time、until、after、once等引導(dǎo)的時(shí)間狀語從句的謂語是一般過去時(shí),以及by、before后面接過去的時(shí)間時(shí),主句動(dòng)作發(fā)生在從句的動(dòng)作或過去的時(shí)間之前且表示被動(dòng)時(shí),要用過去完成時(shí)的被動(dòng)語態(tài)。By the time my brother was 10, he had been sent to Italy.我弟弟10歲前就已經(jīng)被送到意大利了。Tons of rice had been produced by the end of last month. 到上月底已生產(chǎn)了好幾噸大米。(3) It was the first/second/last ... time that ...句中that引導(dǎo)的定語從句中,主語與謂語構(gòu)成被動(dòng)關(guān)系時(shí),要用過去完成時(shí)的被動(dòng)語態(tài)。It was the first time that I had seen the night fact to face in one and a half years. 這是我一年半以來第一次親眼目睹夜晚的景色。(4)在虛擬語氣中,條件句表示與過去事實(shí)相反,且主語與謂語構(gòu)成被動(dòng)關(guān)系時(shí),要用過去完成時(shí)的被動(dòng)語態(tài)。If I had been instructed by him earlier, I would have finished the task.如果我早一點(diǎn)得到他的指示,我早就完成這項(xiàng)任務(wù)了。If I had hurried, I wouldn't have missed the train.如果我快點(diǎn)的話,我就不會(huì)誤了火車。If you had been at the party, you would have met him. 如果你去了晚會(huì),你就會(huì)見到他的。
4.有8種不同的菜種,任選4種種在不同土質(zhì)的4塊地里,有 種不同的種法. 解析:將4塊不同土質(zhì)的地看作4個(gè)不同的位置,從8種不同的菜種中任選4種種在4塊不同土質(zhì)的地里,則本題即為從8個(gè)不同元素中任選4個(gè)元素的排列問題,所以不同的種法共有A_8^4 =8×7×6×5=1 680(種).答案:1 6805.用1、2、3、4、5、6、7這7個(gè)數(shù)字組成沒有重復(fù)數(shù)字的四位數(shù).(1)這些四位數(shù)中偶數(shù)有多少個(gè)?能被5整除的有多少個(gè)?(2)這些四位數(shù)中大于6 500的有多少個(gè)?解:(1)偶數(shù)的個(gè)位數(shù)只能是2、4、6,有A_3^1種排法,其他位上有A_6^3種排法,由分步乘法計(jì)數(shù)原理,知共有四位偶數(shù)A_3^1·A_6^3=360(個(gè));能被5整除的數(shù)個(gè)位必須是5,故有A_6^3=120(個(gè)).(2)最高位上是7時(shí)大于6 500,有A_6^3種,最高位上是6時(shí),百位上只能是7或5,故有2×A_5^2種.由分類加法計(jì)數(shù)原理知,這些四位數(shù)中大于6 500的共有A_6^3+2×A_5^2=160(個(gè)).
探究新知問題1:已知100件產(chǎn)品中有8件次品,現(xiàn)從中采用有放回方式隨機(jī)抽取4件.設(shè)抽取的4件產(chǎn)品中次品數(shù)為X,求隨機(jī)變量X的分布列.(1):采用有放回抽樣,隨機(jī)變量X服從二項(xiàng)分布嗎?采用有放回抽樣,則每次抽到次品的概率為0.08,且各次抽樣的結(jié)果相互獨(dú)立,此時(shí)X服從二項(xiàng)分布,即X~B(4,0.08).(2):如果采用不放回抽樣,抽取的4件產(chǎn)品中次品數(shù)X服從二項(xiàng)分布嗎?若不服從,那么X的分布列是什么?不服從,根據(jù)古典概型求X的分布列.解:從100件產(chǎn)品中任取4件有 C_100^4 種不同的取法,從100件產(chǎn)品中任取4件,次品數(shù)X可能取0,1,2,3,4.恰有k件次品的取法有C_8^k C_92^(4-k)種.一般地,假設(shè)一批產(chǎn)品共有N件,其中有M件次品.從N件產(chǎn)品中隨機(jī)抽取n件(不放回),用X表示抽取的n件產(chǎn)品中的次品數(shù),則X的分布列為P(X=k)=CkM Cn-kN-M CnN ,k=m,m+1,m+2,…,r.其中n,N,M∈N*,M≤N,n≤N,m=max{0,n-N+M},r=min{n,M},則稱隨機(jī)變量X服從超幾何分布.
二項(xiàng)式定理形式上的特點(diǎn)(1)二項(xiàng)展開式有n+1項(xiàng),而不是n項(xiàng).(2)二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)都是C_n^k(k=0,1,2,…,n),它與二項(xiàng)展開式中某一項(xiàng)的系數(shù)不一定相等.(3)二項(xiàng)展開式中的二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)的和等于2n,即C_n^0+C_n^1+C_n^2+…+C_n^n=2n.(4)在排列方式上,按照字母a的降冪排列,從第一項(xiàng)起,次數(shù)由n次逐項(xiàng)減少1次直到0次,同時(shí)字母b按升冪排列,次數(shù)由0次逐項(xiàng)增加1次直到n次.1.判斷(正確的打“√”,錯(cuò)誤的打“×”)(1)(a+b)n展開式中共有n項(xiàng). ( )(2)在公式中,交換a,b的順序?qū)Ω黜?xiàng)沒有影響. ( )(3)Cknan-kbk是(a+b)n展開式中的第k項(xiàng). ( )(4)(a-b)n與(a+b)n的二項(xiàng)式展開式的二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)相同. ( )[解析] (1)× 因?yàn)?a+b)n展開式中共有n+1項(xiàng).(2)× 因?yàn)槎?xiàng)式的第k+1項(xiàng)Cknan-kbk和(b+a)n的展開式的第k+1項(xiàng)Cknbn-kak是不同的,其中的a,b是不能隨便交換的.(3)× 因?yàn)镃knan-kbk是(a+b)n展開式中的第k+1項(xiàng).(4)√ 因?yàn)?a-b)n與(a+b)n的二項(xiàng)式展開式的二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)都是Crn.[答案] (1)× (2)× (3)× (4)√
2.某小組有20名射手,其中1,2,3,4級(jí)射手分別為2,6,9,3名.又若選1,2,3,4級(jí)射手參加比賽,則在比賽中射中目標(biāo)的概率分別為0.85,0.64,0.45,0.32,今隨機(jī)選一人參加比賽,則該小組比賽中射中目標(biāo)的概率為________. 【解析】設(shè)B表示“該小組比賽中射中目標(biāo)”,Ai(i=1,2,3,4)表示“選i級(jí)射手參加比賽”,則P(B)= P(Ai)P(B|Ai)= 2/20×0.85+ 6/20 ×0.64+ 9/20×0.45+ 3/20×0.32=0.527 5.答案:0.527 53.兩批相同的產(chǎn)品各有12件和10件,每批產(chǎn)品中各有1件廢品,現(xiàn)在先從第1批產(chǎn)品中任取1件放入第2批中,然后從第2批中任取1件,則取到廢品的概率為________. 【解析】設(shè)A表示“取到廢品”,B表示“從第1批中取到廢品”,有P(B)= 112,P(A|B)= 2/11 ,P(A| )= 1/11所以P(A)=P(B)P(A|B)+P( )P(A| )4.有一批同一型號(hào)的產(chǎn)品,已知其中由一廠生產(chǎn)的占 30%, 二廠生產(chǎn)的占 50% , 三廠生產(chǎn)的占 20%, 又知這三個(gè)廠的產(chǎn)品次品率分別為2% , 1%, 1%,問從這批產(chǎn)品中任取一件是次品的概率是多少?
3.某縣農(nóng)民月均收入服從N(500,202)的正態(tài)分布,則此縣農(nóng)民月均收入在500元到520元間人數(shù)的百分比約為 . 解析:因?yàn)樵率杖敕恼龖B(tài)分布N(500,202),所以μ=500,σ=20,μ-σ=480,μ+σ=520.所以月均收入在[480,520]范圍內(nèi)的概率為0.683.由圖像的對(duì)稱性可知,此縣農(nóng)民月均收入在500到520元間人數(shù)的百分比約為34.15%.答案:34.15%4.某種零件的尺寸ξ(單位:cm)服從正態(tài)分布N(3,12),則不屬于區(qū)間[1,5]這個(gè)尺寸范圍的零件數(shù)約占總數(shù)的 . 解析:零件尺寸屬于區(qū)間[μ-2σ,μ+2σ],即零件尺寸在[1,5]內(nèi)取值的概率約為95.4%,故零件尺寸不屬于區(qū)間[1,5]內(nèi)的概率為1-95.4%=4.6%.答案:4.6%5. 設(shè)在一次數(shù)學(xué)考試中,某班學(xué)生的分?jǐn)?shù)X~N(110,202),且知試卷滿分150分,這個(gè)班的學(xué)生共54人,求這個(gè)班在這次數(shù)學(xué)考試中及格(即90分及90分以上)的人數(shù)和130分以上的人數(shù).解:μ=110,σ=20,P(X≥90)=P(X-110≥-20)=P(X-μ≥-σ),∵P(X-μσ)≈2P(X-μ130)=P(X-110>20)=P(X-μ>σ),∴P(X-μσ)≈0.683+2P(X-μ>σ)=1,∴P(X-μ>σ)=0.158 5,即P(X>130)=0.158 5.∴54×0.158 5≈9(人),即130分以上的人數(shù)約為9人.
解析:因?yàn)闇p法和除法運(yùn)算中交換兩個(gè)數(shù)的位置對(duì)計(jì)算結(jié)果有影響,所以屬于組合的有2個(gè).答案:B2.若A_n^2=3C_(n"-" 1)^2,則n的值為( )A.4 B.5 C.6 D.7 解析:因?yàn)锳_n^2=3C_(n"-" 1)^2,所以n(n-1)=(3"(" n"-" 1")(" n"-" 2")" )/2,解得n=6.故選C.答案:C 3.若集合A={a1,a2,a3,a4,a5},則集合A的子集中含有4個(gè)元素的子集共有 個(gè). 解析:滿足要求的子集中含有4個(gè)元素,由集合中元素的無序性,知其子集個(gè)數(shù)為C_5^4=5.答案:54.平面內(nèi)有12個(gè)點(diǎn),其中有4個(gè)點(diǎn)共線,此外再無任何3點(diǎn)共線,以這些點(diǎn)為頂點(diǎn),可得多少個(gè)不同的三角形?解:(方法一)我們把從共線的4個(gè)點(diǎn)中取點(diǎn)的多少作為分類的標(biāo)準(zhǔn):第1類,共線的4個(gè)點(diǎn)中有2個(gè)點(diǎn)作為三角形的頂點(diǎn),共有C_4^2·C_8^1=48(個(gè))不同的三角形;第2類,共線的4個(gè)點(diǎn)中有1個(gè)點(diǎn)作為三角形的頂點(diǎn),共有C_4^1·C_8^2=112(個(gè))不同的三角形;第3類,共線的4個(gè)點(diǎn)中沒有點(diǎn)作為三角形的頂點(diǎn),共有C_8^3=56(個(gè))不同的三角形.由分類加法計(jì)數(shù)原理,不同的三角形共有48+112+56=216(個(gè)).(方法二 間接法)C_12^3-C_4^3=220-4=216(個(gè)).
(2)方法一:第一次取到一件不合格品,還剩下99件產(chǎn)品,其中有4件不合格品,95件合格品,于是第二次又取到不合格品的概率為4/99,由于這是一個(gè)條件概率,所以P(B|A)=4/99.方法二:根據(jù)條件概率的定義,先求出事件A,B同時(shí)發(fā)生的概率P(AB)=(C_5^2)/(C_100^2 )=1/495,所以P(B|A)=(P"(" AB")" )/(P"(" A")" )=(1/495)/(5/100)=4/99.6.在某次考試中,要從20道題中隨機(jī)地抽出6道題,若考生至少答對(duì)其中的4道題即可通過;若至少答對(duì)其中5道題就獲得優(yōu)秀.已知某考生能答對(duì)其中10道題,并且知道他在這次考試中已經(jīng)通過,求他獲得優(yōu)秀成績的概率.解:設(shè)事件A為“該考生6道題全答對(duì)”,事件B為“該考生答對(duì)了其中5道題而另一道答錯(cuò)”,事件C為“該考生答對(duì)了其中4道題而另2道題答錯(cuò)”,事件D為“該考生在這次考試中通過”,事件E為“該考生在這次考試中獲得優(yōu)秀”,則A,B,C兩兩互斥,且D=A∪B∪C,E=A∪B,由古典概型的概率公式及加法公式可知P(D)=P(A∪B∪C)=P(A)+P(B)+P(C)=(C_10^6)/(C_20^6 )+(C_10^5 C_10^1)/(C_20^6 )+(C_10^4 C_10^2)/(C_20^6 )=(12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ),P(E|D)=P(A∪B|D)=P(A|D)+P(B|D)=(P"(" A")" )/(P"(" D")" )+(P"(" B")" )/(P"(" D")" )=(210/(C_20^6 ))/((12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ))+((2" " 520)/(C_20^6 ))/((12" " 180)/(C_20^6 ))=13/58,即所求概率為13/58.
溫故知新 1.離散型隨機(jī)變量的定義可能取值為有限個(gè)或可以一一列舉的隨機(jī)變量,我們稱為離散型隨機(jī)變量.通常用大寫英文字母表示隨機(jī)變量,例如X,Y,Z;用小寫英文字母表示隨機(jī)變量的取值,例如x,y,z.隨機(jī)變量的特點(diǎn): 試驗(yàn)之前可以判斷其可能出現(xiàn)的所有值,在試驗(yàn)之前不可能確定取何值;可以用數(shù)字表示2、隨機(jī)變量的分類①離散型隨機(jī)變量:X的取值可一、一列出;②連續(xù)型隨機(jī)變量:X可以取某個(gè)區(qū)間內(nèi)的一切值隨機(jī)變量將隨機(jī)事件的結(jié)果數(shù)量化.3、古典概型:①試驗(yàn)中所有可能出現(xiàn)的基本事件只有有限個(gè);②每個(gè)基本事件出現(xiàn)的可能性相等。二、探究新知探究1.拋擲一枚骰子,所得的點(diǎn)數(shù)X有哪些值?取每個(gè)值的概率是多少? 因?yàn)閄取值范圍是{1,2,3,4,5,6}而且"P(X=m)"=1/6,m=1,2,3,4,5,6.因此X分布列如下表所示
本閱讀材料的話題是交際中的肢體語言,作者從三個(gè)方面講述了肢體語言的特征與作用,通過主題句和舉例闡述的方式讓讀者了解不同文化中肢體語言的相同或者不同的意義,并從更抽象、概括的維度深入認(rèn)識(shí)肢體語言的特點(diǎn),理解肢體語言的作用。基于肢體語言的特點(diǎn),作者提醒讀者在與人交流中,尤其是當(dāng)文化背景有差異的時(shí)候,要使用得體的肢體語言,尊重、理解和包容不同的文化,進(jìn)行有效、有素養(yǎng)的溝通。文本共由六個(gè)段落組成,篇章結(jié)構(gòu)為“總—分”。第一段用簡(jiǎn)練的語言引出了話題,并且從我們自身表達(dá)的需要和了解他人感受兩個(gè)角度講述了肢體語言的作用。第二段闡述了肢體語言的第一個(gè)重要特點(diǎn)——肢體語言在不同的文化中有不同的內(nèi)涵——這也是文中寫作篇幅最大的一個(gè)要點(diǎn),最為重要。通過講述肢體語言的這一特點(diǎn),作者向讀者傳遞了要尊重不同的文化、要使用與所在文化相宜的肢體語言。
本單元閱讀文本向中學(xué)生推薦職業(yè)能力測(cè)試(Career Aptitude Test),旨在建議學(xué)生利用職業(yè)傾向測(cè)試來發(fā)現(xiàn)自己更感興趣、更有潛力的學(xué)習(xí)或職業(yè)方向,并規(guī)劃自己的未來職業(yè)。 本文采用了建議性文本,全篇從職業(yè)生涯的重要意義講起,針對(duì)中學(xué)生對(duì)職業(yè)規(guī)劃比較迷茫的現(xiàn)狀,提出了職業(yè)傾向測(cè)試這一建議。全文共七段,其中第一段和第二段為第一部分,其余五段為第二部分。第一部分論述職業(yè)的重要性和職業(yè)生涯規(guī)劃的最佳時(shí)間是在校期間,第二部分提出解決職業(yè)選擇困惑可以通過完成職業(yè)能力測(cè)試,介紹了不同種類的職業(yè)傾向測(cè)試,結(jié)合圖表詳細(xì)說明其中一種操作步驟,并提醒職業(yè)建議也基于學(xué)歷和經(jīng)驗(yàn),最后一段概括論述,建議學(xué)生通過職業(yè)能力測(cè)試這一有效的工具,找到自己真正熱愛的事物。 在文本教學(xué)設(shè)計(jì)時(shí),要幫助學(xué)生梳理有關(guān)職業(yè)的話題語言。閱讀策略層面,指導(dǎo)學(xué)生通過學(xué)習(xí)圖表和圖形,在有限的空間內(nèi)獲取廣泛信息,如閱讀圖表標(biāo)題,圖表上的標(biāo)簽,X軸Y軸上的數(shù)據(jù)所指。
一、 問題導(dǎo)學(xué)前面兩節(jié)所討論的變量,如人的身高、樹的胸徑、樹的高度、短跑100m世界紀(jì)錄和創(chuàng)紀(jì)錄的時(shí)間等,都是數(shù)值變量,數(shù)值變量的取值為實(shí)數(shù).其大小和運(yùn)算都有實(shí)際含義.在現(xiàn)實(shí)生活中,人們經(jīng)常需要回答一定范圍內(nèi)的兩種現(xiàn)象或性質(zhì)之間是否存在關(guān)聯(lián)性或相互影響的問題.例如,就讀不同學(xué)校是否對(duì)學(xué)生的成績有影響,不同班級(jí)學(xué)生用于體育鍛煉的時(shí)間是否有差別,吸煙是否會(huì)增加患肺癌的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),等等,本節(jié)將要學(xué)習(xí)的獨(dú)立性檢驗(yàn)方法為我們提供了解決這類問題的方案。在討論上述問題時(shí),為了表述方便,我們經(jīng)常會(huì)使用一種特殊的隨機(jī)變量,以區(qū)別不同的現(xiàn)象或性質(zhì),這類隨機(jī)變量稱為分類變量.分類變量的取值可以用實(shí)數(shù)表示,例如,學(xué)生所在的班級(jí)可以用1,2,3等表示,男性、女性可以用1,0表示,等等.在很多時(shí)候,這些數(shù)值只作為編號(hào)使用,并沒有通常的大小和運(yùn)算意義,本節(jié)我們主要討論取值于{0,1}的分類變量的關(guān)聯(lián)性問題.
由樣本相關(guān)系數(shù)??≈0.97,可以推斷脂肪含量和年齡這兩個(gè)變量正線性相關(guān),且相關(guān)程度很強(qiáng)。脂肪含量與年齡變化趨勢(shì)相同.歸納總結(jié)1.線性相關(guān)系數(shù)是從數(shù)值上來判斷變量間的線性相關(guān)程度,是定量的方法.與散點(diǎn)圖相比較,線性相關(guān)系數(shù)要精細(xì)得多,需要注意的是線性相關(guān)系數(shù)r的絕對(duì)值小,只是說明線性相關(guān)程度低,但不一定不相關(guān),可能是非線性相關(guān).2.利用相關(guān)系數(shù)r來檢驗(yàn)線性相關(guān)顯著性水平時(shí),通常與0.75作比較,若|r|>0.75,則線性相關(guān)較為顯著,否則不顯著.例2. 有人收集了某城市居民年收入(所有居民在一年內(nèi)收入的總和)與A商品銷售額的10年數(shù)據(jù),如表所示.畫出散點(diǎn)圖,判斷成對(duì)樣本數(shù)據(jù)是否線性相關(guān),并通過樣本相關(guān)系數(shù)推斷居民年收入與A商品銷售額的相關(guān)程度和變化趨勢(shì)的異同.
4.寫出下列隨機(jī)變量可能取的值,并說明隨機(jī)變量所取的值表示的隨機(jī)試驗(yàn)的結(jié)果.(1)一個(gè)袋中裝有8個(gè)紅球,3個(gè)白球,從中任取5個(gè)球,其中所含白球的個(gè)數(shù)為X.(2)一個(gè)袋中有5個(gè)同樣大小的黑球,編號(hào)為1,2,3,4,5,從中任取3個(gè)球,取出的球的最大號(hào)碼記為X.(3). 在本例(1)條件下,規(guī)定取出一個(gè)紅球贏2元,而每取出一個(gè)白球輸1元,以ξ表示贏得的錢數(shù),結(jié)果如何?[解] (1)X可取0,1,2,3.X=0表示取5個(gè)球全是紅球;X=1表示取1個(gè)白球,4個(gè)紅球;X=2表示取2個(gè)白球,3個(gè)紅球;X=3表示取3個(gè)白球,2個(gè)紅球.(2)X可取3,4,5.X=3表示取出的球編號(hào)為1,2,3;X=4表示取出的球編號(hào)為1,2,4;1,3,4或2,3,4.X=5表示取出的球編號(hào)為1,2,5;1,3,5;1,4,5;2,3,5;2,4,5或3,4,5.(3) ξ=10表示取5個(gè)球全是紅球;ξ=7表示取1個(gè)白球,4個(gè)紅球;ξ=4表示取2個(gè)白球,3個(gè)紅球;ξ=1表示取3個(gè)白球,2個(gè)紅球.
3.下結(jié)論.依據(jù)均值和方差做出結(jié)論.跟蹤訓(xùn)練2. A、B兩個(gè)投資項(xiàng)目的利潤率分別為隨機(jī)變量X1和X2,根據(jù)市場(chǎng)分析, X1和X2的分布列分別為X1 2% 8% 12% X2 5% 10%P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2求:(1)在A、B兩個(gè)項(xiàng)目上各投資100萬元, Y1和Y2分別表示投資項(xiàng)目A和B所獲得的利潤,求方差D(Y1)和D(Y2);(2)根據(jù)得到的結(jié)論,對(duì)于投資者有什么建議? 解:(1)題目可知,投資項(xiàng)目A和B所獲得的利潤Y1和Y2的分布列為:Y1 2 8 12 Y2 5 10P 0.2 0.5 0.3 P 0.8 0.2所以 ;; 解:(2) 由(1)可知 ,說明投資A項(xiàng)目比投資B項(xiàng)目期望收益要高;同時(shí) ,說明投資A項(xiàng)目比投資B項(xiàng)目的實(shí)際收益相對(duì)于期望收益的平均波動(dòng)要更大.因此,對(duì)于追求穩(wěn)定的投資者,投資B項(xiàng)目更合適;而對(duì)于更看重利潤并且愿意為了高利潤承擔(dān)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的投資者,投資A項(xiàng)目更合適.
對(duì)于離散型隨機(jī)變量,可以由它的概率分布列確定與該隨機(jī)變量相關(guān)事件的概率。但在實(shí)際問題中,有時(shí)我們更感興趣的是隨機(jī)變量的某些數(shù)字特征。例如,要了解某班同學(xué)在一次數(shù)學(xué)測(cè)驗(yàn)中的總體水平,很重要的是看平均分;要了解某班同學(xué)數(shù)學(xué)成績是否“兩極分化”則需要考察這個(gè)班數(shù)學(xué)成績的方差。我們還常常希望直接通過數(shù)字來反映隨機(jī)變量的某個(gè)方面的特征,最常用的有期望與方差.二、 探究新知探究1.甲乙兩名射箭運(yùn)動(dòng)員射中目標(biāo)靶的環(huán)數(shù)的分布列如下表所示:如何比較他們射箭水平的高低呢?環(huán)數(shù)X 7 8 9 10甲射中的概率 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4乙射中的概率 0.15 0.25 0.4 0.2類似兩組數(shù)據(jù)的比較,首先比較擊中的平均環(huán)數(shù),如果平均環(huán)數(shù)相等,再看穩(wěn)定性.假設(shè)甲射箭n次,射中7環(huán)、8環(huán)、9環(huán)和10環(huán)的頻率分別為:甲n次射箭射中的平均環(huán)數(shù)當(dāng)n足夠大時(shí),頻率穩(wěn)定于概率,所以x穩(wěn)定于7×0.1+8×0.2+9×0.3+10×0.4=9.即甲射中平均環(huán)數(shù)的穩(wěn)定值(理論平均值)為9,這個(gè)平均值的大小可以反映甲運(yùn)動(dòng)員的射箭水平.同理,乙射中環(huán)數(shù)的平均值為7×0.15+8×0.25+9×0.4+10×0.2=8.65.
1.對(duì)稱性與首末兩端“等距離”的兩個(gè)二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)相等,即C_n^m=C_n^(n"-" m).2.增減性與最大值 當(dāng)k(n+1)/2時(shí),C_n^k隨k的增加而減小.當(dāng)n是偶數(shù)時(shí),中間的一項(xiàng)C_n^(n/2)取得最大值;當(dāng)n是奇數(shù)時(shí),中間的兩項(xiàng)C_n^((n"-" 1)/2) 與C_n^((n+1)/2)相等,且同時(shí)取得最大值.探究2.已知(1+x)^n =C_n^0+C_n^1 x+...〖+C〗_n^k x^k+...+C_n^n x^n 3.各二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)的和C_n^0+C_n^1+C_n^2+…+C_n^n=2n.令x=1 得(1+1)^n=C_n^0+C_n^1 +...+C_n^n=2^n所以,(a+b)^n 的展開式的各二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)之和為2^n1. 在(a+b)8的展開式中,二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)最大的項(xiàng)為 ,在(a+b)9的展開式中,二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)最大的項(xiàng)為 . 解析:因?yàn)?a+b)8的展開式中有9項(xiàng),所以中間一項(xiàng)的二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)最大,該項(xiàng)為C_8^4a4b4=70a4b4.因?yàn)?a+b)9的展開式中有10項(xiàng),所以中間兩項(xiàng)的二項(xiàng)式系數(shù)最大,這兩項(xiàng)分別為C_9^4a5b4=126a5b4,C_9^5a4b5=126a4b5.答案:1.70a4b4 126a5b4與126a4b5 2. A=C_n^0+C_n^2+C_n^4+…與B=C_n^1+C_n^3+C_n^5+…的大小關(guān)系是( )A.A>B B.A=B C.A<B D.不確定 解析:∵(1+1)n=C_n^0+C_n^1+C_n^2+…+C_n^n=2n,(1-1)n=C_n^0-C_n^1+C_n^2-…+(-1)nC_n^n=0,∴C_n^0+C_n^2+C_n^4+…=C_n^1+C_n^3+C_n^5+…=2n-1,即A=B.答案:B